Risk Analysis and Assessment for Rural Water Supply System: A Case Study of Chongqing City

HAN Huan-hao, WANG Yu-xuan, FAN Lin-lin, LUO Wen-bing, WEI Chen-chen

Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (11) : 130-135.

PDF(1563 KB)
PDF(1563 KB)
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (11) : 130-135. DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20230589
Agricultural Water Conservancy

Risk Analysis and Assessment for Rural Water Supply System: A Case Study of Chongqing City

Author information +
History +

Abstract

Rural water supply system is affected by geographical conditions, water resources endowment and regional differences in economic development level. In some areas, rural water supply projects exhibit weak resilience to risks, potentially leading to water shortage or contamination during emergencies. In this paper, the natural disaster risk theory is introduced into the analysis of rural water supply risk. An evaluation index system and the corresponding evaluation model were constructed from four aspects: disaster-causing factors, disaster-prone environment, disaster-bearing entities, and disaster prevention and mitigation capability. Based on data of rural water supply projects in 34 districts in Chongqing in 2020, the rural water supply risk at district level was assessed. According to the calculation results, the risk level was divided into three levels: low, medium and high, with the thresholds set at 0.336 6 and 0.558 1 respectively. Results indicate that five districts (Yongchuan, Beibei, Wansheng, Fengjie and Fuling), primarily located in the urban area, exhibited low risk. Two districts (Wushan and Youyang) were classified as high risk. Wushan is situated in the Three Gorges reservoir area in northeast Chongqing, while Youyang is in the Wuling Mountainous area in southeast Chongqing. The remaining 27 districts were categorized as medium risk. The risk assessment results offer technical support for early warning and response for rural water supply risks in Chongqing.

Key words

rural water supply / disaster risk / risk identification / risk assessment / Chongqing City

Cite this article

Download Citations
HAN Huan-hao , WANG Yu-xuan , FAN Lin-lin , et al . Risk Analysis and Assessment for Rural Water Supply System: A Case Study of Chongqing City[J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(11): 130-135 https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230589

References

[1]
张玉欣, 赵友敏, 曲小兴, 等. 我国农村供水工程现状分析[J]. 中国水利, 2013(7): 14-15.
(ZHANG Yu-xin, ZHAO You-min, QU Xiao-xing, et al. Analysis on the Present Situation of Rural Water Supply Projects in China[J]. China Water Resources, 2013(7): 14-15. (in Chinese))
[2]
GRIGG N S. Water Waste Water Storm Water Infrastructure Management[M]. London: Lewis Publishers,2002:358.
[3]
LINDHE A, NORBERG T, ROSÉN L. Approximate Dynamic Fault Tree Calculations for Modelling Water Supply Risks[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2012, 106: 61-71.
[4]
TULARAM G A, PROPERJOHN M. An Investigation into Modern Water Distribution Network Security:Risk and Implications[J]. Security Journal, 2011, 24(4):283-301.
[5]
宋卫坤, 廖丽莎, 邬晓梅, 等. 基于Delphi-HACCP法的农村供水工程风险识别研究[J]. 水利发展研究, 2022, 22(9):14-20.
(SONG Wei-kun, LIAO Li-sha, WU Xiao-mei, et al. Study on Risk Identification of Rural Water Supply Projects Based on Delphi-HACCP Method[J]. Water Resources Development Research, 2022, 22(9): 14-20. (in Chinese))
[6]
廖丽莎, 宋卫坤, 邬晓梅, 等. 基于风险矩阵法的农村供水工程风险分析研究[J]. 水利发展研究, 2022, 22(8): 31-36.
(LIAO Li-sha, SONG Wei-kun, WU Xiao-mei, et al. Study on Risk Analysis of Rural Water Supply Projects Based on Risk Matrix Method[J]. Water Resources Development Research, 2022, 22(8): 31-36. (in Chinese))
[7]
宋卫坤, 廖丽莎, 邬晓梅, 等. 农村供水工程可持续性评价指标体系研究[J]. 水利发展研究, 2022, 22(4): 15-19.
(SONG Wei-kun, LIAO Li-sha, WU Xiao-mei, et al. Study on Evaluation Index System for Sustainability of Rural Drinking Water Supply Projects[J]. Water Resources Development Research, 2022, 22(4): 15-19. (in Chinese))
[8]
苏桂武, 高庆华. 自然灾害风险的分析要素[J]. 地学前缘, 2003, 10(增刊1):272-279.
(SU Gui-wu, GAO Qing-hua. The Elements for Analyzing Natural Disaster Risk[J]. Earth Science Frontiers, 2003, 10(Supp. 1):272-279. (in Chinese))
[9]
World Health Organization. Guidelines for Drinking Water Quality[K]. Edition 4. Geneva: WHO, 2011.
[10]
GB/T 20481—2017, 气象干旱等级[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2017.
(GB/T 20481—2017, Grades of Meteorological Drought[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2017. (in Chinese))
[11]
SAATYT L. Decision Making with the Analytic Hierarchy Process[J]. International Journal of Services Sciences, 2008, 1(1): 83.
[12]
刘超. 城乡供水一体化PPP项目风险评价研究[D]. 成都: 西南财经大学, 2022.
(LIU Chao. Study on Risk Assessment of PPP Project of Urban-rural Water Supply Integration[D]. Chengdu: Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, 2022. (in Chinese))
[13]
孙银星. 基于层次分析法的水利工程项目风险管理探讨[J]. 广东水利电力职业技术学院学报, 2023, 21(2):45-48.
(SUN Yin-xing. Risk Management of Water Conservancy Project Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process[J]. Journal of Guangdong Polytechnic of Water Resources and Electric Engineering, 2023, 21(2):45-48. (in Chinese))
[14]
邬晓梅, 赵翠, 李建国, 等. 《农村饮水安全评价准则》标准编制要点解读[C]//中国水利学会. 中国水利学会2018学术年会论文集第五分册. 北京: 中国水利水电出版社,2018:18-21.
(WU Xiao-mei, ZHAO Cui, LI Jian-guo, et al. Key Points of Compiling the Rural Drinking Water Safety Assessment Criteria[C]//Chinese Hydraulic Engineering Society. Proceedings of the 2018 Annual Academic Conference of Chinese Hydraulic Engineering Society, Volume 5. Beijing:China Water Power Press, 2018:18-21. (in Chinese))
PDF(1563 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/

Baidu
map