PDF(1006 KB)
PDF(1006 KB)
PDF(1006 KB)
基于模糊聚类迭代模型的洪灾评估标准计算方法
Calculation Method for Flood Disaster Assessment Standards Based on Fuzzy Clustering Iterative Model
对于洪灾评估工作来说,制定一个具有普适性的洪灾等级评估标准是很重要的,而目前缺少一个被公开认可的标准制定方案。在模糊聚类迭代模型的基础上,提出了一种不受时空分布影响的洪灾评估标准计算方法。在求解目标函数时,采用混沌文化进化算法进行了优化。以四川省1976—2006年洪灾样本为例,计算出了四川省洪灾的标准化等级评估标准,并进行了验证。分析表明:该标准是合理有效并符合洪灾分布特点的,可以作为其它模型的评估标准。采用相对值标准,不受时空分布不同的影响,可以用于所有具有同一范围级别和较完备历史灾情数据的洪灾评估标准工作。
It is important to have a universal standard when assessing the scale of a flood disaster, despite such a widely accepted standard does not currently exist. On the basis of fuzzy clustering iterative model, we proposed a calculation method for disaster standard independent of the time and location of the disaster. A piecewise linear chaotic map based culture differential evolution algorithm was used to optimize the objective function. We verified the efficiency and accuracy of this method by applying it to the data of flood happened in Sichuan province during 1976-2006. The results are reasonable and consistent with the distribution of the flood disaster according to the assessing standard currently used by the Sichuan province. This method can also be applied to the flood disaster assessment in most cases which have complete data.
洪灾评估 / 洪灾评估标准 / 模糊聚类迭代模型 / 混沌文化差分进化算法 / 洪灾分布特点 / 洪水灾害等级划分
flood disaster assessment / assessment standards / fuzzy clustering iterative model (FCI) / chaotic culture differential evolution algorithm (CCDE) / features of flood distribution / grading of flood scale
[1] 翟 俊, 郝 静, 肖海文, 等. 1892—2010 年间重庆主城降水变化趋势分析. raybet体育在线
院报, 2012, 29(12):33-36. (ZHAI Jun, HAO Jing, XIAO Hai-wen, et al. Trend of Precipitation Variation in Main Urban Area of Chongqing City from 1892 to 2010. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, 2012, 29(12):33-36.(in Chinese))
程卫帅, 陈 进. 未来洪灾风险与适应性洪水综合管理框架. raybet体育在线
院报, 2011, 28(12): 93-97. (CHENG Wei-shuai, CHEN Jin. Future Flood Risk and Adaptive Framework for Integrated Flood Management. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, 2011, 28(12): 93-97.(in Chinese))
[2]
蒋金才,季新菊,刘 良,等.河南省1950—1990年水旱灾害分析.灾害学,1996,11(4):69-73.(JIANG Jin-cai,JI Xin-ju,LIU Liang,et al. Preliminary Analysis of Flood and Drought Disasters Between 1950 and 1990 in Henan Province. Journal of Catastrophology, 1996, 11(4): 69-73. (in Chinese))
[3]
陈 曜, 丁 晶, 赵永红. 基于投影寻踪原理的四川省洪灾评估. 水利学报, 2010, 41(2): 220-225. (CHEN Yao, DING Jing, ZHAO Yong-hong. Assessment on Flood Disaster in Sichuan Province Based on the Principle of Projection. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2010, 41(2): 220-225. (in Chinese))
[4]
陈守煜. 工程模糊集理论与应用. 北京: 国防工业出版社, 1998. (CHEN Shou-yu. Engineering Fuzzy Set Theory and Application. Beijing: National Defense Industry Publishing Company, 1998. (in Chinese))
[5]
陈守煜. 复杂水资源系统优化模糊识别理论与应用. 长春: 吉林大学出版社, 2002. (CHEN Shou-yu. Optimization Fuzzy Identification Theory and Application in Complex Water Resources. Changchun: Jilin University Publishing House, 2002. (in Chinese))
[6]
CHEN S Y, WANG S Y. Fuzzy Clustering Algorithmic and Rationality Test Model//Proceedings of the 5th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation, Hangzhou, China. June 15-19, 2004: 2339-2343.
[7]
于雪峰, 陈守煜. 模糊聚类迭代模型在洪水灾害度划分中应用. 大连理工大学学报, 2005, 45(1):128-131. (YU Xue-feng, CHEN Shou-yu. Application of Fuzzy Clustering Iterative Model to Classification of Flood Disaster Grade. Journal of Dalian University of Technology, 2005, 45(1): 128-131. (in Chinese))
[8]
HE Y Y, ZHOU J Z, QIN H , et al. Flood Disaster Classification based on Fuzzy Clustering Iterative Model and Modified Differential Evolution Algorithm//Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery (FSKD09), Tianjin, China. August 14-16, 2009: 85-89.
[9]
廖 力, 李 蕊, 邹 强, 等. 基于模糊聚类迭代模型的洪灾智能评估方法. 人民长江, 2014, 45(4): 1-4. (LIAO Li, LI Rui, ZOU Qiang, et al. Intelligent Assessment of Flood Disaster Based on Fuzzy Clustering Iterative Model. Yangtze River, 2014, 45(4): 1-4. (in Chinese))
[10]
何耀耀, 周建中, 罗志猛,等. 基于混沌DE算法和PP多项式函数的洪灾评估. 人民长江, 2010, 41(3): 92-95. (HE Yao-yao, ZHOU Jian-zhong, LUO Zhi-meng, et al. Flood Disaster Evaluation Based on Chaotic Differential Evolution Algorithm and Projection Pursuit Polynomial Function. Yangtze River, 2010, 41(3): 92-95. (in Chinese))
[11]
卢有麟,周建中,李英海,等.混沌差分文化算法及其仿真应用研究. 系统仿真学报, 2009, 21(16): 5107 -5111. (LU You-lin, ZHOU Jian-zhong, LI Ying-hai, et al. Differential Evolution-based Cultural Algorithm Combined with Chaotic Search and Its Application. Journal of System Simulation, 2009, 21(16): 5107-5111. (in Chinese))
[12]
廖 力, 贺润松, 李 蕊. 自适应文化差分进化算法在洪灾聚类评价中的应用. 水电能源科学, 2014, 32(12): 59-62. (LIAO Li, HE Run-song, LI Rui. Application of Adaptive Culture Differential Evolution Algorithm in Flood Clustering Evaluation Model. Water Resource and Power, 2014, 32(12): 59-62. (in Chinese))
国家自然科学基金项目(51239004,51309105);湖北省自然科学基金项目(2014CFB333);raybet体育在线 开放研究基金资助项目(CKWV2014219/KY)
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |